With the polls looking up for Labour, the chances of a Labour list seat in North Wales is zilch, nada, F*** all!
The only way that Labour can gain a list seat in the North is if the North West constituency vote collapses under a Tory landslide - that is not going to happen!.
Any Labour list vote is going to be a wasted vote, so how should Labour supporters in the north use their list vote?
I suspect that the vast majority will waste their second vote on Labour, without realising that they could actually make a difference if they think about their second vote.
Those who like the coalition between Plaid and Labour could make a difference by giving Plaid their second vote in order to ensure a bigger Plaid (and smaller Tory /Lib Dem) representation.
On the other hand Labour supporters who hate the Assembly might consider lending their second vote to anti Assembly UKIP!
Either way it makes more sense than wasting the list vote on Labour when the maths says that Labour can never, ever gain a list seat in the Northern region!
If I supported either UKIP or Plaid I would be making hay on the fact that a second vote for Labour is a wasted voet in all but the Mid Wales Region. Neither appears to be doing so - silly buggers!
That is exactly the strategy that the Green Party are following in the south
ReplyDeletehttp://www.greenparty.org.uk/region/wales/Assembly-Election-2011/South-Wales-Central.html
Plaid have not ruled out forming a coalition with the Tories and Liberals. Although it might be interesting to see the Greens or UKIP get a seat in the Assembly, just for variety of parties.
ReplyDeleteThat said, voting Labour in the list is not a wasted vote for me, so meh.