Congratulations to Guto Bebb on being selected as the Conservative candidate for Aberconwy in the coming General Election. If he is elected there is no doubt that he will be a good constituency MP and a credit to Westminster.
Aberconwy is a new seat that is currently represented by Beti Williams (Labour) and Elfyn Llwyd (Plaid Cymru). Neither incumbent intends to defend the seat*. According to UK Polling Report the notional result in 2005 was:
Labour: 9119 (31.5%)
Conservative 8875 (30.6%)
Liberal Democrats: 5733 (19.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 4186 (14.4%)
Others: 1080 (3.7%)
Labour majority over Cons: 243 (0.8%)
This makes the seat fifth on the Conservatives list of target seats.
One must take these notional results with a healthy pinch of scepticism though. Guto, or any other candidate would be foolish to give them too much credibility.
The new boundaries were used in May's Assembly elections. This was the result:
Gareth Jones PC 7,983 (38.6%)
Dylan Jones-Evans Con 6,290 (30.4%)
Denise Idris Jones Lab 4,508 (21.8%)
Euron Hughes Lib Dem 1,918 (9.3%)
I had thought that Beti Williams intended to stand in Arfon, however Hafod and Martin Eaglestone both tell me that she is in fact going to stand in Aberconwy.