AS the Lib Dems have now given the Rainbow Coalition the Mick Bates Finger, the Assembly is left with two options a minority government with a stability pact or a minority government without a stability pact. The minority government without a pact could, theoretically, be a Plaid / Tory one, but this is highly unlikely. The only realistic candidate for FM remaining is Numpti Morgan.
As Morgan's life would be made a lot easier if he had a stability pact than if he is without one, and Plaid's influence would still be greater if it offered such a pact rather than refused one, the question is who has benefited most from tonight's shenanigans? Is Plaid's bargaining position strengthened or weakened?
Because of the Rainbow Rebels, I suspect that Plaid's position has been significantly weakened. Labour know that they already have a third of Plaid AM's in the bag without giving any further ground. But can Labour afford the risk of holding out without offering more to Plaid?
The government of Wales could depend on who's nerve folds first; whether Ieuan phones Numpti, or Numpti phones Ieu!
More on the end of the Rainbow:
Chanticleer - Lee's Pages - Geraint - David Peter - Cascittuni - Blamerbell - Cymru 2020 - New Welsh Right - Luke Young - and in my opinion the most poignant comment Llanelli